There are six gates around the perimeter of Notre Dame Stadium. Five of the
six are named after successful Irish coaches, leaving one gate unclaimed and
available. Fans and supporters of a coach will certainly claim this gate at
some point in the future. What does it take to earn a gate? And does Brian
Kelly, soon to be the winningest coach in Notre Dame history, have a shot at seeing
Gate E renamed the Brian Kelly Gate?
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| Figure 3. The Rock guards his eponymous gate |
With their recent (9/18, 27-13) win over in-state rival Purdue, Notre Dame Coach Brian
Kelly's teams have notched 105 wins, tying them with those teams who played
under the great Knute Rockne from 1918-30. The Rock (shown in a photo I took at
the Rockne Gate of Notre Dame Stadium after the Purdue game) needed 13 seasons to earn those 105
wins--a win count record that has lasted 91 years. Kelly is in his 12th season
with the Irish. With 8 games left in the regular season and the possibility of
a post-season bowl game, Kelly is poised to become the winningest coach in the
nation's most storied college football program.
It's too early in the season to completely rule out a possible College Football Playoff berth. Such an outcome does seem like wishful thinking, but there is one thing I learned long ago--never discount the Luck of the Irish!
But let's not measure Brian Kelly nor hire the sculptor just yet. Before Coach Kelly and his staff
and players can claim a life-sized statue and get a gate named in honor of
their accomplishments, they must achieve what only 5 of Kelly's 30 predecessors
have been able to do: win at least one National Championship.
Championship
Here are the championship coaches sorted first by championship count, and
then in chronological order:
In terms of Coach Kelly's legacy, the greatness picture is clouded by the
observation that not only has Kelly missed three chances to bring home the
biggest prize (2012, 2018, 2020), but he is conspicuously the only coach with
at least 50 wins who hasn't won a championship.
Here are the championship coaches in order of games won:
- Rockne (105),
- Holtz
(100),
- Parseghian (95),
- Leahy (87), and
- Devine (53).
One could say that Holtz had to win a lot of games to get his gate, compared to Leahy or Devine, but here is the point: no one cares about how many wins any of these coaches had. The only reason they "matter" is because they brought home the big prize at least once.
Win Rate
Kelly's winning rate of 72.9% looks fantastic compared to recent coaches
like Bob Davie (.583), Tyrone Willingham (.583), Charlie Weis (.565), and God
bless him, Gerry Faust (.535). But here is an interesting stat: the average of
all 31 coaches across 133 seasons and 1,289 games is 72.8%. In reality, Kelly is only 0.1% ahead of the average.
In contrast, here are the win rates of championship coaches:
- Rockne (.881),
- Leahy (.855),
- Parseghian (.836),
- Holtz (.765), and
- Devine (.764).
Kelly's crew needs to step on the gas to break away from the middle of the pack and catch the Champions. By the way and just to put things in perspective, Rockne’s 88.1%
is the best ever across all programs and throughout all time.
Heisman
Another measure of greatness is Heisman trophy winners. In a 3-way tie for
first with Oklahoma and The Ohio State, Notre Dame has 7 of those. However,
only 4 of 31 Irish coaches produced at least one Heisman winner. One of those
coaches (Terry Brennan) did not win a National Championship, and 2 (The Rock
and Dan Devine) won one or more championships without a singled-out
"star" player.
Here are selected coaches in chronological order showing the Heisman count:
- Rockne (0),
- Leahy (4: Bartelli '43, Lujack '47, Hart '49, Lattner '53),
- Brennan
(1: Hornung '56),
- Parseghian (1: Huarte '64),
- Devine (0), and
- Holtz (1: Brown).
Incidentally, Golden Boy Paul Hornung remains the only player in college football history to earn honors as the best all-around player while playing for a team with a losing record. It's not enough to have a star player but there is no denying that a Heisman-quality player can improve Brian Kelly's chances of winning his first championship with Notre Dame.
Other Measures
There are certainly other measures of greatness besides the three highlighted above: a sustained high win
rate, Heisman winner production, and the elusive National Championship. Other meaningful measures of coaching greatness include:
· Consensus All-Americans. Notre Dame leads the pack in this category with 104 ahead of The Ohio State (90) and Michigan (83).
· Recruiting. Notre Dame does very well in this area,
but still has trouble competing with powerhouse programs like Alabama. Clemson,
and Oklahoma for 5-star recruits. Gerry Faust set consecutive records for recruiting
in 1980 and 81 but wasn’t able to get results with that talent. Today, talented
high school players look at Notre Dame’s recent performance in the big games under
Kelly and conclude that they have a better chance of winning the championship
at a place like ‘Bama. They are not wrong, for now, but: (a) Alabama is not invincible,
and (b) Notre Dame is cable of attracting and retaining top talent.
· Academic All-Americans. Notre Dame now stands
second all-time with 238 Academic All-Americans, trailing only Nebraska's 314,
but well ahead of third-place MIT's 220;
·
Player success. Players who go on to successful
professional careers. 520 NFL Draft picks are the most for any program ever;
and
·
Coaching success. Assistant coaches under Kelly have gone on to
successful head coaching careers.
Kelly excels in these other measures largely because of his skill and experience, but let's be honest: the lore of Notre Dame itself is a powerful draw. Other coaches at Notre Dame with a tenure of at least 5 years have all done well in the other measures. In other words, being excellent is not good enough. If we are ever to have a
Brian Kelly Gate at Notre Dame Stadium, there is one thing and one thing only
that will do...
Beat
‘Bama!
…or Clemson, Oklahoma, The Ohio State—whatever it takes to bring home that biggest trophy.
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| Figure 4. The hardware in question |
References
Statistics of Notre Dame Head Coaches
Assistant ND football coaches who go on to successful coaching careers.
Players in the NFL (520)
Consensus All-Americans (104)
Heisman History (7)
Academic All-Americans (238)
- https://und.com/ot-cosida-category-rankings-html/
Recruiting success compared
The Gates at Notre Dame Stadium
Brian Kelly knows he has to win a championship to secure
his legacy. "I knew it coming in," he said.