Monday, April 9, 2012

Results Reflect Values

Once more, with feeling!


From a recent post come these bullets tying together  Pirsig (1974) Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance (ZAMM), and Keeney (1992) Value-Focused Thinking (VFT):


  • Values (Heart). Get the Values right, or the Numbers don't matter.
  • Plan (Head). Get the Numbers right, or the Plan doesn't matter.
  • Action (Hands). Get the Plan right, or the Results don't matter.


What we achieve is a function of what we think about and how we think about it (plus other stuff like skill, knowledge, and ability), What we think about in turn reveals what matters most to us. Not what we say matters most to us, but what actually matters most to us. Values are reflected in Results.


Decision-making should start with a long-term perspective. The motive for decision-making should be the fulfillment of deeply-held values, not the selection of problem-solving alternatives.

Focusing on values instead of alternatives opens the decision opportunity to different perspectives, and to more of an enterprise-wide or systemic impact.

The holistic approach of VFT inspires greater innovation and offers a better chance at attaining results in harmony with long-term objectives. VFT reduces the odds of misapplying resources to problems that are not constraining the system.

Merely solving the next problem that presents itself could be likened to putting the ladder up against the wrong wall. Put the ladder up against the wrong wall, and it does not matter how fast you climb!

Sometimes the decision situation calls for fire-fighting type of decision-making--purely reactionary and instinctive. VFT is not suited for that situation of high importance and high urgency. VFT is ideal for the high importance and low urgency situations. If a decision-maker has time to make a plan, and if the results have strategic import, then the decision situation warrants an investment in a deliberate, transparent, mathematical, data-fueled methodology.


Once more, with feeling, I present an expanded and annotated version of my three bullets:

  • Values (Heart). Begin with a shared understanding of values. Values matter most. Problems come at the individual or decision-maker. Armed with a "data-fueled" assessment framework, the decision-maker can treat those problems as decision opportunities. With an understanding of the system's processes and an orientation on the system-wide effects, the decision-maker can then identify which decision opportunities are most important--and thus avoid expending resources on less consequential matters. The D-M must look at the numbers that matter from a values perspective. Get the Values right or the Numbers don't matter. 
  • Plan (Head). Once a value-focused gap or decision opportunity is identified, an improvement plan can be crafted to close that gap. Fueled with performance data, the D-M can understand how all  underlying processes contribute to the system or enterprise. There may be several gaps or friction points across the enterprise, but VFT offers an approach for selecting projects and managing portfolios of projects to do the most good with constrained resources, For clarity, the D-M must define objectives in the common language of numbers.  Get the Numbers right, or the Plan doesn't matter.
  • Action (Hands). What we do reflects what matters most. A plan must provide clear and achievable directions for accomplishing a mission. If the plan is unrealistic, the results will be unsatisfactory. Every living thing changes--and I certainly include individuals, teams, and organizations as "living things." The D-M must orchestrate change toward some shared goal. A sound plan, well-executed, gets results that matter. In the end, the results are the proof of the plan, and everything that went into the plan. Get the Plan right, or the Results don't matter.


What we do as individuals, teams, or organizations reflects our values. Does it not make sense, then, to express our true passions and guiding values deliberately up front, and then to organize our activities in support of realizing those values? And when our actions fall short and we do nothing to correct the situation, have we not in fact just lowered the bar?


Results accurately reflect the true values of any person, team, or organization.


VFT applies to all of the following topics or disciplines: 
  • risk assessment and risk management, 
  • decision-making and problem-solving, 
  • project selection and portfolio management, 
  • workforce alignment and organizational behavior, and
  • group dynamics and human capital development. 


The Trip of a Lifetime


I am feeling today's quip from the "Keep Calm and Carry On" calendar.
  • Fan of Dr Who (check). 
  • Adventurer (double check). 
  • Eccleston is a family surname, so I claim Christopher as a cousin (bonus). 

"Life is either a great adventure or nothing." --Helen Keller

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Monday, April 2, 2012

Faces Around the Globe

Average men, per country, via @9gag

This poster, which I call Faces Around The Globe, has captivated my imagination. I have long been fascinated by the human face.
 
  • The similarities are clearly unifying: are we not all part of one big human family? 
  • At the same time, the differences call out our individuality, our uniqueness. 
  • Somewhere in the middle, the attentive observer sees each person's family history and clan. 


My favorite book on the subject of the human face is Liggett, J. (1974) The human face. New York: Stein and Day.  http://www.amazon.com/The-Human-Face-J-Liggett/dp/0812817540


I have drawn a lot of portraits and was especially prolific in my High School days. I won many awards, and was even invited to join the debate team to present a speech entitled "How to Draw a Face."  I used the model from a Winston cigarette advertisement as my subject, and created a portrait on stage in four phases. I tried to make it look so easy that anyone could do it, much like one of those Walter Foster Learn to Draw books.


What I learned is that everyone can draw, but not everyone wants to draw.  Everyone can see the differences in people's faces, but not everyone wants to bring those differences into their consciousness and translate them into a two-dimensional representation.


To draw a person's face, either as a caricature or a portrait, one must first study the subject and compare it with a kind of generic human face. How is the subject different in aspects such as symmetry and proportionality? What aspects of the subject's personality are expressed in the physical form of the face?


Who am I, that I was born 
In such a time and place 
And to such parents
And with this face?

Could I have been anyone else?
Could anyone else be me?
Genes set the shape of my face
Is my face my destiny?





H/T to AC who tweeted:

Sunday, April 1, 2012

Quest and the 8-bit Google Map

Quest Map of Groveton Woods and Environs


The Style Blog - The Washington Post: Google’s most fun April Fools’ Day prank ever? 8-bit Google Maps

On April 1, Google debuted its newest product, Quest, which uses Google Maps to take you on an 8-bit video game ad­ven­ture.

Of course, the date is a dead giveaway that this is one of Google’s famous April Fools’ Day pranks — and it may prove to be their most popular one yet.

Thursday, March 29, 2012

Neo Lebowski

Do you like both the Matrix and the Big Lebowski? Me, too. This is the best mashup I have seen.





"That rug really tied the Matrix together, man."

H/T: SR

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Good Operations Research Blogs

Here for your use or amusement is a pretty good list of a baker's dozen very good  blogs on the subject of Operations Research, Management Science, Decision Analysis, Applied Mathematics, Business Analytics, and Value-Focused Thinking.


  1. The Science of Better. There are many places to learn more about operations research. A good place to start is the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS), which defines operations research as the “discipline of applying advanced analytical methods to help make better decisions.” 
  2. Veni, Vedi, Duci. Nestler Analytics provides a full range of services in the field of business analytics and operations research. We offer our clients solutions and technologies to turn their available data and information into knowledge that provides a competitive edge.
  3. Punk Rock OR. This blog is maintained by Laura McLay from the Department of Statistical Sciences and Operations Research at Virginia Commonwealth University. This blog highlights interesting applications of operations research and the management sciences, as well as ways in which operations research and systems thinking can make the world a better place.
  4. Analytics in Action. The purpose of this blog is to publish posts showcasing research in operations research and management science (funded research or research recommended to PIC as particularly promising), as well as papers and dissertations recognized for their novelty by being selected as finalists in INFORMS paper competitions. (This includes competitions run by INFORMS societies and sections.)
  5. IEOR Tools.  Maximize productivity with Industrial Engineer and Operations Research tools.
  6. ThinkOR. Think Operations Research is an exchange corner for the OR professionals, an OR information source for the general public
  7. Thoughts on business, engineering and higher education. Aurelie Thiele is a tenured Associate Professor in Industrial and Systems Engineering at Lehigh University in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania. She holds a MS and PhD in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from MIT.
  8. Sebastian Pokutta's Blog. Mathematics and related topics.
  9. Reflections on Operations Research. We are Patricia and Robert Randall, management and IT consultants with a passion for Operations Research. After completing our MSs and PhDs in Industrial Engineering/Operations Research, we chose to go into consulting so that we could bring the benefits of OR to the business world. In this blog, we will share our thoughts on the influence of OR in both business and everyday life in the hopes of increasing the awareness of the value of operations research. 
  10. Michael Trick’s Operations Research Blog. Thoughts on the world of operations research
  11. free_LUNCH. Vibhav Agarwal is currently a second year MBA student at the Goizueta Business School, Atlanta. His interests are Business, Strategy, Marketing, Finance, Movies, Books, and Sports. 
  12. Decisions and Info-Gaps. This blog discusses, in non-technical terms, issues relating to decisions under uncertainty, especially from an info-gap perspective.
  13. Palisade. A blog by the makers of the world's leading risk and decision analysis software, @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite



I am happy to update this list with your suggestions. Feel free to leave a constructive comment, or three! Alternatively, you may email me at DBDoane["at" symbol]gmail[daught]com.